KUALA LUMPUR — Malaysia might see an even bigger number of Covid-19 infections recorded locally, as analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co have predicted that a peak in cases might occur around mid-April.
The report cited several reasons for the predictions, also pointing out how numbers could have been worse if not for the proactive preventive measures being taken by the government.
Its authors commended the government’s decision to implement the movement control order (MCO) following a sharp increase in infections.
It also noted that the spike in the number positive of cases reported over the last three days suggested the country was entering into the graphical reference of the “curve acceleration stage”.
Another positive from the report was how Malaysia’s “aggressive” testing per capita methods are bearing fruit, with JPMorgan noting such stringent testing methods would result in higher infection numbers but would allow milder developments and lower mortality rates.
“The recent limitations on movement should also help to slow the spread and along with border controls should subdue secondary spread of the epidemic,” read the report.
The report explained that projections on the potential severity of Covid-19 in Malaysia were determined by analysing data on how China and South Korea handled the outbreak.
Among the factors taken into consideration was Malaysia’s relatively lower population density as compared to China and South Korea and the government’s relatively early implementation of the MCO to restrict local and foreign travel.
As a result of these preventive measures paired with Malaysia’s holistic testing methods, the JPMorgan report noted its optimism that the public healthcare system would be able to cope with the potential increase in cases.
“The country’s test per million is 482, which is four to 81 times higher compared to other Asean countries (six to 109 million population) and even higher than some European Union countries.
“It suggests that the country has relatively better positioning to contain the virus diffusion process,” it said.
The report added that Malaysia’s current critical care bed numbers, estimated to be around 1,060 as per data from the Malaysian Registry of Intensive Care, also suggested the healthcare system is equipped to handle severe cases.
“Given about 10 per cent of total infections generally need intensive care beds, compared to the forecasted total infection at peak (around 6,300), we initially think that the country has the capacity to absorb future hospital demand to a large degree,” it read.
Malaysia today recorded an additional 106 Covid-19 infections, bringing the cumulative number of infections to 1,624.
One more death was recorded over the last 24 hours, bringing the local tally to 15 dead from the virus. MALAY MAIL
Health Ministry: 24 more Covid-19 patients recovered, fewer new cases compared to yesterday
KUALA LUMPUR — The Ministry of Health (MoH) announced today that 24 Covid-19 patients have recovered and been discharged today, making the cumulative total of those discharged at 183 cases.
There were also just 106 new cases recorded today, markedly lower than 212 yesterday which was the country’s highest daily jump so far.
This comes as Malaysia registered its 15th Covid-19 death when a 71-year-old man from Melaka died early this morning. – MALAY MAIL