Stocks closed higher on Friday as investors shrugged off worries about a possible government shutdown.
“The prospect of a government shutdown isn’t putting a lid on this boiling market—investors simply aren’t fazed,” said Mike Loewengart, vice president of investment strategy at E-Trade. “For traders, many are looking beyond the beltway and finding fundamentals in US companies as sound as they’ve been in a long time.”
The Dow Jones industrial average closed 53.91 points higher at 26,071.72, despite pullbacks in IBM and American Express.
On Thursday, the House passed a bill to keep the government open. The bill is now in the Senate’s hands, where 60 votes are needed to send it to President Donald Trump’s desk. Republicans only hold 51 seats in the Senate.
Historically, a government shutdown has led to a short-term pullback in the stock market.
Mick Mulvaney, chief of the Office of Management and Budget, said Friday that odds of a shutdown occurring are 50-50. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs thinks there is a 60 percent chance the government shuts down. In a note, Goldman said a shutdown “seems more likely than not because both sides appear to think they could gain from a shutdown.”
Equities have seen an increase in volatility this week. On Tuesday, stocks closed lower in a major reversal that knocked them off of record highs.
“The noise we’re hearing out of Washing doesn’t sound like they’re close,” said Art Hogan. chief market strategist at B. Riley FBR. “If you were looking for a reason to be cautious, that might be it.”
Still, the major indexes posted weekly gains. The Dow rose 1 percent for the week, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained 0.9 percent and 1 percent, respectively. The major averages also hit record highs as earnings season rolled on.
Earnings season kicked into full gear this week, with most results surpassing expectations. Of the companies that have reported quarterly results as of Friday morning, 79 percent have exceeded earnings expectations while 89 percent have surpassed sales estimates, according to Nick Raich, CEO of The Earnings Scout.
Morgan Stanley and American Express are among the companies that reported better-than-expected results this week.
“This reporting season should confirm continuity of synchronized global growth and start to provide clarity on the impact of tax reform on earnings and prospects for rising shareholder distributions,” Dubravko Lakos-Bujas, head of U.S. equity strategy at J.P. Morgan, said in a note Friday.
Investors have poured cash into stock funds at the highest pace ever over the past four weeks as they try to get a piece of the surging stock market. Year to date, stocks are up about 5 percent.
IBM and American Express dropped 4.1 percent and 2.4 percent, respectively, putting a lid on the Dow. IBM warned Thursday it could take a hit from a higher tax rate for 2018, while American Express posted its first overall earnings loss in 25 years.
Elsewhere, the 10-year yield hit its highest level since 2014, reaching 2.642 percent. “If we continue higher on yields, at some point it’s going to impact equities,” said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade. “But right now, the market can take higher rates” since the economy and earnings are strong.